Forecasting, Recommending, Monitoring, and Evaluating Policy Outcomes
The policy making process requires effective forecasting, recommending, and monitoring of policy outcomes. In this Section, the Learner will have the opportunity to explore each of these facets of the policy analysis process.
Required Reading:
Dunn, W. (2012): Chapters 4, 5, 6, 7
Ghosh, C., & Raychaudhuri, A. (2010)
Policy Outcomes Evaluation
Monitoring and Evaluating Policy Outcomes
In order to assess the forecasted policy outcome with reality, the implementation of any policy must be monitored. Monitoring can provide confirmation of a decision or it can provide insight into changes that are needed in order to improve the effect of a policy. This activity provides you with the experience of conducting research, assessing the forecasting of policy outcomes, and summarizing the findings in a paper.
In a paper, discuss the following points:
1. How do you monitor and evaluate policy outcomes?
2. How do you effectively monitor?
3. Justify the evaluation process.
Length: 4-5 pages (app. 350 words per page)
Your paper should demonstrate thoughtful consideration of the ideas and concepts that are presented in the course and provide new thoughts and insights relating directly to this topic. Your response should reflect scholarly writing and the current APA standards.

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Once a policy decision has been made and implemented, its success should be monitored. If the policy is successful it may be adapted for use elsewhere, and if it is not successful, further analysis can help to tune the policy to be more effective or the policy can be dropped or reversed. In addition, if the policy represents expenditure of taxpayer dollars there is a duty to monitor and assess the effectiveness of any policy decision and to account for all costs and revenues.
Depending on the particular policy, there are a variety of ways to monitor outcomes. Performing statistical analyses before and after the institution of a policy is often used. Graphical analysis is a good way to convey information simply. The evaluation criteria must be quantitative in nature – for example, numbers of people who are living in poverty before and after a policy that is designed to get people back to work, numbers of children reading at or above grade level after a policy for funding library programs, or the number of traffic fatalities after a policy change affecting the number of traffic stops to check compliance with seatbelt laws.
Evaluating a policy decision can...

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